With McCain having essentially wrapped up the nomination, a lot of the attention is now on who he will pick as his running mate. In looking at potential running mates, you will definitely notice a trend with almost all of the picks. Not to copy David Letterman, but here are my top 10 guesses from least likely to most likely:
10. Governor Bobby Jindal (LA)- Jindal is a young charismatic Rhodes scholar who will be the Republican nominee for President one day. However, he has not been in the public spotlight too long and I have a feeling that he feels more of a need to help rebuild Louisiana for the next few years.
9. Former Governor Mitt Romney (MA)- One issue is likely to dog him in McCain's mind: torture. The moment that things turned heated between Romney and McCain was not due to negative advertising, it's because Romney gave a waffling answer during a debate on the issue of torture. I think Romney will help McCain, and may get a spot in his administration or help in some other way (rumors already going around about a possible move to Michigan to run for Governor there).
8. Governor Sarah Palin (AK)- Attractive, young, smart, and experienced enough to go onto the next step in politics. Her main downside is, who really cares about Alaska?
7. Senator Kay Bailey Hutchison (TX)- I think she is more likely to run for Governor of Texas in the future. If that is not in her future plans, she would be a very good choice for McCain.
6. Governor Hailey Barbour (MS)- A friend of McCain's, shores up social conservatives, and does not have a record to attack. The main disadvantages here is first of all, Barbour is 60 years old. Also, I believe that Barbour really wants to keep helping Mississippi recover from Hurricane Katrina.
5. Senator Elizabeth Dole (NC)- She is probably the most politically experienced female in the nation. She is very well loved by conservatives and moderates, and would likely shore up some states that could potentially become swing states.
4. Former Governor Mike Huckabee (AR)- I predicted a year ago that the Republican ticket would be McCain/Huckabee. If Huckabee would have dropped out after the Potomac sweep, it still would seem very viable. However, he isn't a conservative darling because of his tax record (which is still better than any past Arkansas governors). I see him more likely to be the HHS Secretary.
3. Governor Charlie Crist (FL)- Helped deliver McCain the state of Florida. He's young enough to run after 4 or 8 years, and he's a popular social conservative from a swing state. However, he still has many conservative critics with his views on "right to die", scaled back version of the death penalty, and environmental protections. He also seemed to be running for VP too actively.
2. Governor Mark Sanford (SC)- May have hurt himself politically by not aligning with McCain, instead staying neutral while McCain was in a tough fight. Sanford is also not extremely popular in South Carolina right now. However, he and McCain are good friends and he has a record that is hard for conservatives to argue with.
1. Governor Tim Pawlenty (MN)- In some ways this seems a little too perfect. An early McCain supporter. Solid conservative record as governor. Almost as young as Obama. Popular in the swing state of Minnesota (where the GOP Convention is going to be held). Has fairly modest roots (can't allow Dems to play the doesn't care about the everyman card). If I had to place a bet now, he will be McCain's VP choice.