Observers from the Weekly Standard’s Bill Kristol to George Packer, the New Yorker writer and author of “The Assassins Gate” can already see it coming:
Said Kristol yesterday on Fox News Sunday:
The next big flip for Obama, and this will make Brit even more astonished, will be on Iraq. He’s going to go to Iraq, meet with General Petraeus, decide the surge is working and walk back from his immediate unconditioned withdrawal. And suddenly, it’s going to be, “Well, we’re going to be very careful, gradual.” “Honorable withdrawal,” Obama said the other day — an honorable conclusion to the Iraq war.
And Packer in this week’s New Yorker:
Obama, whatever the idealistic yearnings of his admirers, has turned out to be a cold-eyed, shrewd politician. The same pragmatism that prompted him last month to forgo public financing of his campaign will surely lead him, if he becomes President, to recalibrate his stance on Iraq. He doubtless realizes that his original plan, if implemented now, could revive the badly wounded Al Qaeda in Iraq, reënergize the Sunni insurgency, embolden Moqtada al-Sadr to recoup his militia’s recent losses to the Iraqi Army, and return the central government to a state of collapse. The question is whether Obama will publicly change course before November. So far, he has offered nothing more concrete than this: “We must be as careful getting out of Iraq as we were careless getting in.”
The question, as Nikrad puts it, is "Will it be the big one?" Which is to say, will this be the final, big flip-flop that exposes Obama as the typical politician's politician, and essentially a liar for having built his entire campaign on being exactly the opposite.
To me, the bigger question is, "Do Obama's supporters just not care? Or are they simply stupid?" I think its probably a little bit of both. To watch an Obama rally is truly like watching the blind leading the blind, but its hard to tell which is the leader. Obama seems to take his queus from popular opinion instead of staking a claim on an issue based on principle and sticking with it. Ya know, like a genuine "new politician" might do.



